Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.119424 0.138123 0.158766 0.183245 0.211482 0.243036 0.280982
2025-11-30 0.090306 0.115481 0.146129 0.186180 0.237156 0.299908 0.383098
2025-12-07 0.072079 0.098855 0.133747 0.182538 0.249040 0.336594 0.460806
2025-12-14 0.060179 0.087391 0.124877 0.180273 0.260115 0.371157 0.537642
2025-12-21 0.052661 0.080358 0.120392 0.182456 0.276340 0.413252 0.628580
2025-12-28 0.048350 0.077122 0.120538 0.190789 0.301747 0.470560 0.747648
2026-01-04 0.044072 0.073204 0.118925 0.195857 0.322259 0.522150 0.863304
2026-01-11 0.040338 0.069565 0.117136 0.200133 0.341578 0.573408 0.983620
2026-01-18 0.036672 0.065505 0.114064 0.201709 0.356274 0.618235 1.097700
2026-01-25 0.032832 0.060628 0.108970 0.199069 0.363177 0.650244 1.192696
2026-02-01 0.028945 0.055166 0.102186 0.192533 0.362223 0.668107 1.263906
2026-02-08 0.026977 0.052982 0.100991 0.195951 0.379583 0.720172 1.402948
2026-02-15 0.024813 0.050219 0.098506 0.196822 0.392571 0.766130 1.536868
2026-02-22 0.023138 0.048217 0.097248 0.199928 0.410239 0.822852 1.698292
2026-03-01 0.020888 0.044772 0.092758 0.196019 0.413381 0.851365 1.806036
2026-03-08 0.019050 0.041957 0.089208 0.193588 0.419170 0.885565 1.928930
2026-03-15 0.017855 0.040370 0.088007 0.195931 0.435177 0.942245 2.105383
2026-03-22 0.017335 0.040202 0.089780 0.204877 0.466356 1.033968 2.367841
2026-03-29 0.016557 0.039355 0.089976 0.210317 0.490309 1.112415 2.609125
2026-04-05 0.015772 0.038398 0.089816 0.214908 0.512785 1.189773 2.856189
2026-04-12 0.014843 0.036995 0.088482 0.216600 0.528665 1.253725 3.078714
2026-04-19 0.013700 0.034935 0.085398 0.213766 0.533439 1.292377 3.244756
2026-04-26 0.012408 0.032359 0.080809 0.206749 0.527250 1.304406 3.346816